US intel community fears increased India-Pakistan, India-China tension and conflict

US intel community fears increased India-Pakistan, India-China tension and conflict

According to the US Intelligence Community’s annual threat assessment, India may be threatened by escalating tensions with China and Pakistan that could result in a war that puts American citizens and interests in jeopardy. According to the paper, India is more likely to respond militarily to Pakistan’s provocations, and border conflicts with China may worsen in light of the previous standoffs.

Significantly, all three nations have nuclear weapons, and a battle between the neighbors would be dangerous for the entire world. Since the 2020 Galwan Valley conflict, which saw the deaths of 20 Indian soldiers, relations between China and India have deteriorated progressively. On the other hand, Pakistan has remained a breeding ground for anti-India terrorist groups that are creating turmoil in Kashmir.

The report was declassified by the US Director of National Intelligence

After the terror strikes in Uri and Pulwama in Jammu and Kashmir, which were planned by terror organizations harbored by Pakistan, India has retaliated under the direction of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Persistent low-level friction along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) has the potential to escalate quickly, according to the assessment. On Wednesday, the report was declassified by the US Director of National Intelligence.

Positively, the article stated that India and China are holding one-on-one discussions to settle India-China border disputes. It also mentioned the early 2021 renewal of the truce between India and Pakistan along the Line of Control (LOC). But, given that Chinese troops briefly tried an assault in the Tawang area of Arunachal Pradesh in December 2022, there is still a chance that tensions will rise.

A terrorist assault in other parts of India or unrest in Kashmir may serve as a trigger for rising tensions with Pakistan

Meanwhile, the US has expressed interest in working with Pakistan to address the threats of terrorism. US State Department spokesperson Ned Price said, “We have a shared interest in combating threats to regional security. The goal of a stable and secure South and Central Asia free from terrorism depends on the strength of, in large part, our partnership with Pakistan.”

A terrorist assault in other parts of India or unrest in Kashmir, according to the research, may serve as a trigger for rising tensions with Pakistan. According to US officials, any group that poses a danger to regional and global stability should be taken seriously. It’s interesting that the paper, which was released after the Russia-Ukraine crisis, warned that if things got out of hand, the US might need to step in.

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